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FDD has provided leading research and analysis in support of strong, broad-based energy sanctions, including gasoline, natural gas, and oil sanctions, as part of a comprehensive strategy to end the Iranian regime's pursuit of nuclear weapons. "[Iranian President Mahmoud] Ahmadinejad has badly mismanaged the economy, and the Iranian people know it. Refined-petroleum sanctions would rock an already shaky system. Iranians who are fed up with theocracy are certainly not going to embrace it if Mr. Obama declares gasoline sanctions the midwife of representative government. The regime has been blaming Washington for almost all of its failures since the revolution. Americans have become more popular in Iran precisely because the regime damns the U.S."The Wall Street Journal credited FDD for having "brought the idea of gasoline sanctions to political attention." Gasoline sanctions have generated broad, bipartisan support, and have been endorsed by leading editorial page and policy experts from the across the political spectrum. Informed by FDD research and analysis, the House and Senate have both passed legislation to curtail Iran's ability to import gasoline. FDD has also conducted research and analysis on the role of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in the Iranian energy sector and the links between the IRGC and international energy companies. The IRGC now control large chunks of the Iranian economy; by some estimates, one-third. The project has already achieved tangible results: Seven of Iran's major gasoline suppliers -- BP, Vitol, Trafigura, Glencore, Shell, Reliance, and Lukoil -- have reportedly said that they will end their gasoline supplies to Iran after calculating that the political risk from continued trade was too high. Most Western banks have stopped underwriting gasoline shipments Iran. Two insurance companies, Munich Re and Allianz, have also exited the market, and a third -- Lloyd's of London -- has indicated its willingness to stop underwriting the gasoline trade after sanctions legislation is signed into law. Citing US pressure on Iran's energy sector, Russia's Lukoil abandoned its Anaran oil project in Iran. The focus on gasoline and other forms of energy sanctions has changed the debate in Washington. No longer a discussion over how to achieve a "grand bargain" with Iran, it now focuses on the types of sanctions that are most appropriate to deter an aggressive regime dedicated to pursuing nuclear weapons, supporting terrorism and repressing its own people. "The push for broad-based sanctions targeting Iran's energy sector, including steps taken to make it more difficult for Iran to import gasoline, acquire key energy technology, and attract investment for its energy sector, has already had a major impact. Not only are Iran's gasoline suppliers exiting the market, but energy investors, banks, technology providers, and insurers now face growing pressure to decide between doing business with the Iranian regime and continuing their business relationships in the lucrative U.S. market. ... President Obama and Congress need to work together to sign energy sanctions legislation into law as expeditiously as possible and enforce existing energy sanctions on the books since 1996."
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Dr. Walid Phares is a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies where he focuses on Middle East history and politics, global terrorist movements, democratization and human rights. Dr. Phares also leads the foundation's Future of Terrorism Project, which considers how the Jihadi-Islamist threat will mutate over time and what can be done to defend against new, more deadly strains of terrorism...more